Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Space, Shipping, Climate, Infrastructure
0.190
Brier (Good)
0.112
Rolling-10
19,921 predictions17,904 resolvedCal. error: 4.6%Bias: -0.063 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.192
Brier (Good)
0.122
Rolling-10
25,117 predictions18,217 resolvedCal. error: 7.5%Bias: -0.088 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.196
Brier (Good)
0.277
Rolling-10
22,241 predictions18,907 resolvedCal. error: 6.2%Bias: -0.083 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 5 — Energy & Commodities
Oil/Gas/LNG, Power, OPEC+, Metals, Ag
0.197
Brier (Good)
0.258
Rolling-10
10,193 predictions9,347 resolvedCal. error: 3.6%Bias: -0.029 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.198
Brier (Good)
0.186
Rolling-10
23,682 predictions18,934 resolvedCal. error: 6.5%Bias: -0.091 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.209
Brier (Fair)
0.153
Rolling-10
28,704 predictions28,249 resolvedCal. error: 4.1%Bias: -0.032 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.209
Brier (Fair)
0.308
Rolling-10
22,501 predictions16,249 resolvedCal. error: 7.3%Bias: -0.122 (underconfident)
Domain Performance