Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Space, Shipping, Climate, Infrastructure
0.192
Brier (Good)
0.112
Rolling-10
21,625 predictions19,194 resolvedCal. error: 4.7%Bias: -0.061 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.195
Brier (Good)
0.122
Rolling-10
28,161 predictions20,763 resolvedCal. error: 7.6%Bias: -0.081 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.197
Brier (Good)
0.194
Rolling-10
25,510 predictions21,735 resolvedCal. error: 5.1%Bias: -0.068 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.200
Brier (Fair)
0.186
Rolling-10
26,829 predictions20,048 resolvedCal. error: 6.5%Bias: -0.085 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 5 — Energy & Commodities
Oil/Gas/LNG, Power, OPEC+, Metals, Ag
0.203
Brier (Fair)
0.282
Rolling-10
13,770 predictions12,491 resolvedCal. error: 3.6%Bias: -0.029 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.210
Brier (Fair)
0.153
Rolling-10
31,803 predictions31,477 resolvedCal. error: 4.1%Bias: -0.024 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.212
Brier (Fair)
0.308
Rolling-10
26,352 predictions18,922 resolvedCal. error: 6.1%Bias: -0.103 (underconfident)
Domain Performance