Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.188
Brier (Good)
0.275
Rolling-10
17,659 predictions15,257 resolvedCal. error: 6.1%Bias: -0.077 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Space, Shipping, Climate, Infrastructure
0.189
Brier (Good)
0.112
Rolling-10
18,206 predictions15,573 resolvedCal. error: 4.1%Bias: -0.062 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.194
Brier (Good)
0.122
Rolling-10
21,619 predictions15,531 resolvedCal. error: 8.1%Bias: -0.091 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 5 — Energy & Commodities
Oil/Gas/LNG, Power, OPEC+, Metals, Ag
0.203
Brier (Fair)
0.125
Rolling-10
6,136 predictions5,549 resolvedCal. error: 8.9%Bias: -0.035 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.204
Brier (Fair)
0.186
Rolling-10
20,985 predictions12,757 resolvedCal. error: 6.8%Bias: -0.079 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.204
Brier (Fair)
0.153
Rolling-10
23,333 predictions22,575 resolvedCal. error: 4.9%Bias: -0.041 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.208
Brier (Fair)
0.308
Rolling-10
18,548 predictions13,890 resolvedCal. error: 7.4%Bias: -0.124 (underconfident)
Domain Performance